Neuroscientist Jason Pipkin, who calls PredictIt. Saved Stories. Users created an assassination market on the sitting US president. See the list of domains users are browsing next. PredictItJanuary 1, 2021. Does Predictit require an ID or proof-of-age to get a senior citizen discount? Senior discount policies rating: 2. PredictIt went to court after the CFTC revoked its “no-action” letter for the exchange in August. residents can get in on the action is PredictIt, an online prediction market. A twitter rando with little identifying information is taking credit (edit: account just went private after complaining of harassment from Predictit users so tweet is unlinkable now, was@tnim__), claiming he lobbied for it as an act of revenge for Predictit banning him years ago. 99 defines three types of staff letters–exemptive letters, no-action letters, and interpretative letters–that differ in terms of scope and effect. com) - On Friday, PredictIt traders, academic users and market technology pioneer Aristotle filed a lawsuit in U. S. Press inquiries should be directed to press@aristotle. Becca Balint. replied on Nov 15, 2020, 3:45 AM. A smaller political predictions market is Iowa Electronic Markets, at the University of Iowa. The latest New York Times/Siena College poll shows that for the 2024 election, President Biden is trailing former President Donald J. The government. 07:13. More Information. The site pays out $1 to the winning entry in several contests. PredictIt is a real-money political prediction market. 2022-01-03 Plaintiff-Appellants' Opposed Motion for Injunction Pending Appeal or, in the Alternative, Petition for Writ of Manda Tags Aristotle PredictIt prediction market CFTC Class Action 2,678Posts. Last night, a three-judge panel from the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals gave a little life to the hopes of PredictIt and its users. org, and. Aristotle is the contract service provider for the PredictIt Market, which has operated under No-Action Relief CFTC 14-130 since 2014. PredictItTop 5 Competitors & Alternatives to predictit. Expertise: Legislation, Sports Betting, Horse Racing. Aristotle is the contract service provider for the PredictIt Market, which has operated under No-Action Relief CFTC 14-130 since 2014. The following charts are available on this page, PredictIt. Discussion in 'Politics' started by ET180, Oct 27, 2018. Here are some ways in which Predictit may have negative impacts on your well-being:. I could understand the logic if PredictIt were to argue withdrawal. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Thank you for being a PredictIt trader!For its part, PredictIt “maintains that all open markets are within the terms of the . 10 Years of Decentralizing the Future May 29-31, 2024 - Austin, Texas The biggest and most established global hub for everything crypto, blockchain and Web3. Data collected from Predictit on September 22, 2020. Alternatives & Competitors Predictit 's alternatives and competitors See how Predictit compares to similar products. The only legal election betting market in the United States is going away. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). They subtract the 5% whether the funds have been withdrawn or not. PredictIt (prediction market, $850 limit per contract, commission 10% of net winnings per market + 5% of total withdrawal amount) Crypto (unregulated, act accordingly): FTX (betting exchange, 0. As the Harvard Law Review points out, they were also wrong about finding weapons of mass destruction in Iraq in 2003, and the nomination of John Roberts to the U. Why PredictIt filled a need. Ho, and Kyle Duncan denied the “suggestion of mootness” filed by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC),. PredictIt APK 0. It began operating back in 2014 and, despite its somewhat niche subject matter, soon became quite popular. That corresponds to a prediction of under 25% or 75%. PredictIt Alternative. In a memorandum dated May 1, the three-judge panel of the US District Court for the Western District of Texas declared that the lawsuit to determine the fate of PredictIt should continue. PredictIt is a research. 2. Trump in five of six swing states. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Deposit $80 when you open your account and PredictIt will deposit an additional $80. S. CFTC Regulation 140. PredictIt -. Therefore, please check the minimum requirements first to make sure PredictIt is compatible with your phone. PredictIt is currently the biggest legal site for political-prediction trading in this country. . to determine whether it can aggregate information and predict outcomes of certain events more accurately than through alternative means. The goal of this project is to develop a tool that can be used to. The presidential election will not happen until November. 26. Oct 4, 2015. Contact Data Brandi Travis Chief Marketing Officer press@aristotle. Selected Essays on Political Economy. Rep. PredictIt is currently the biggest legal site for political-prediction trading in this country. PredictIt works in a nonprofit arrangement with Victoria University. 10 share price. You're one click away from the most comprehensive, unmatched analyst expertise in tech, in-depth private company data and a platform that brings it all together. Graves, James C. PredictIt is a current-events stock exchange that poses hundreds of questions — each its own “market” — at any given time. It has a few built-in advantages. 1. 42, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at $0. Predictit's headquarters is located in Washington, District of Columbia, USA 20003. The nonprofit firm PredictIt, which has allowed limited trading on political futures since 2014, won a reprieve last month from the U. As of Monday, for instance, you could buy a contract that Joe Biden will be re-elected in 2024. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). PredictIt is currently the biggest legal site for political-prediction trading in this country. Get more coupons from these popular stores. Donald Trump Jr. More Information. residents can get in on the action is PredictIt, an online prediction market. BetMoose. But to the extent that political prediction markets would be used as insurance against political risk, which involves betting in favor of the most harmful party or candidate, would dilute these markets’ predictive power. 22-08. After the Nevada debate, PredictIt, a prediction site that values candidates as stocks, showed Senator Bernie Sanders winning the Democratic nomination by a landslide. For the 2024 president odds, DeSantis gained three cents to 26 cents, trailing Biden at 43 cents and Trump at 31 cents. The solidity contract will be verified with visible source code, and. PredictIt is currently the biggest legal site for political-prediction trading in this country. On PredictIt. Their platform enables customers to predict appropriately, trade wisely, and make easy money by allowing. When the primaries rolled around, Lesko shares were at 74% as voters were heading to the polls, while her fellow GOP contenders’ hopes were drifting in the low teens and single digits. Ordinary Americans are. A smaller political predictions market is Iowa Electronic Markets, at the University of Iowa. PredictIt is a platform where you can make predictions on political events and trade shares based on their outcomes. The Commodity. Predict where the aviator plane will fly away at. The Best PredictIt Alternatives. Such real-money markets adjust quickly and in theory incorporate all relevant information. But to be eligible to bet, the government says you must have $10 million in assets. It focuses on providing accurate predictions and real-time updates. 👍 Why Choose: Alternative 3 is perfect for those who prefer a straightforward and hassle-free experience. Washington, DC, 20003, United States. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. . said on his streaming program yesterday that he wants Laura Loomer as former President Donald Trump’s White House press secretary and Mike Davis as attorney general. The CFTC is the defendant in the case, which involves the impending shutdown of PredictIt’s predictions market site. Total Raised $420K. Since we’re apparently not going to be getting many public polls – let alone high-quality ones – here in Virginia for the Democratic and GOP statewide primaries/convention this cycle, let’s take a look at the prediction markets over at PredictIt (according to this WaPo article, “Prediction markets seek to harness the ‘wisdom of the crowds’ — the theory being that large groups. They claim there were better. The site pays out $1 to the winning entry in several contests. Michigan will hold an election for president of the United States on November 5, 2024, along with 49 other states and the District of Columbia . 06860117098. The CFTC feels that the ruling in United States v. Supreme Court in 2005. make sure your fully registered and fund your. predictIt. A smaller political predictions market is Iowa Electronic Markets, at the University of Iowa. PredictIt essentially functions similar to a stock market. Kalshi Analyst Briefing Submitted Kalshi operates as an online trading platform. Each event, such as an election, has a number of contracts associated with it, each correlating to a different outcome. The products include prediction market platforms, decentralized trading protocols, and secure wallet apps. Users can purchase shares of an outcome, like buying "Yes" or "No" shares of whether or not the Farm Bill will pass by June 30. It didn't seem right that online politics gambling counts as a business, so what is the appropriate. PredictIt is currently the biggest legal site for political-prediction trading in this country. The PredictIt legal case is known as Clarke vs CFTC. There are several alternatives available to US residents. In order to take full advantage of the research opportunities presented by prediction markets like PredictIt, we make our data available to members of the academic community at no cost. A share on PredictIt settles at $1 if the listed event comes to pass and $0 if it doesn’t, and its price fluctuates somewhere in the middle meanwhile. TaoMix 2 - Relax with. 8 by PredictIt Nov 6, 2018 Latest Version. The New PredictIt Case Schedule. Biden has held the lead in this market since Jan. It is beginner-friendly and offers. elections, Congress, state/local elections, and world. org Competitors and Alternatives. QAnon—the conspiracy theory that elite Democrats, government officials, and celebrities are part of a cannibalistic, child-sex-trafficking cult, and Donald Trump. Of course, the bet limit per trader would need to be much higher than the current $850 imposed on PredictIt. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). org are electionbettingodds. Bundestag's Joana Cotar argues that BTC is a better alternative to cash than a CBDC, citing the possibility of regulators to heavily monitor the digital euro and misuse data. S. The PredictIt legal case is known as Clarke vs CFTC. add_box. org competitors and alternatives. Most Read from BloombergWinners and Losers in Democrats’ Signature Tax and Energy BillR Kelly Has $28,000 in His Prison-Inmate Account. A maximum of 5,000 people in one market. Skip to Content [accesskey '1'] You can also use Alt+C and Alt+X to. Education Apps Download PredictIt APK. I argue that persistent and exploitable pricing anomalies were present in PredictIt’s 2020 U. The Value of Alternative Trading Platforms. PredictIt is a research project of Victoria University of Wellington. The public and practitioners are cautioned that it is the staff's denomination of a letter as exemptive, no-action, or interpretative that is controlling and how a publication. PredictIt works in a nonprofit arrangement with Victoria University. 95 trades will appeal to a lot of young users looking for a first-time platform. Steve Bittenbender. presidential election?", "shortName": "Which party wins the presidency in 2024?", "image. Senate will pass a. 5 mBTC withdrawal fee) API: predictit. In order to take full advantage of the research opportunities presented by prediction markets like PredictIt, we make our data available to members of the academic community at no cost. August 6, 2022 at 11:00 AM PDT. The enticing nature of Predictit, coupled with the stress and emotional rollercoaster associated with trading, can take a toll on your physical and mental health. Each episode features pros from. Prediction markets have been around since ancient civilization. I received a 1099-misc from PredictIt (an online politics prediction market). The Prediction Trade lives at the intersection of probability, prediction and profit. In order to take full advantage of the research opportunities presented by prediction markets like PredictIt, we make our data available to members of the academic community at no cost. { "markets": [ { "id": 6867, "name": "Which party will win the 2024 U. The only such market of any size in the U. In order to take full advantage of the research opportunities presented by prediction markets like PredictIt, we. 4, 2022, threatens to harm not only the value of modest investments of more than 80,000 PredictIt traders but the quality of the anonymized data used by more than 200. thanks to a no. A smaller political predictions market is Iowa Electronic Markets, at the University of Iowa. PredictIt, the political markets operator that federal regulators tried to shut. As of Thursday, Sanders was. I stumbled across this site when Bob Beckel mentioned it on afternoon television one day. For our analysis, we will use Predictit. As a trader you can buy & sell shares of a certain real-world event occurring at some point in the future. org's top 5 competitors in July 2023 are: electoral-vote. The PredictIt investment limit on any particular market is $850, but you can still make a ton of money if you buy, say, $850 in one-cent shares. May 31, 2021. It is suggested that these pricing inefficiencies were the result of a subset of market participants acting on misinformation which erroneously led them to conclude that Donald Trump had won. On PredictIt, the winner pays out $1 for each market. Prediction markets allow users to purchase shares relating to the outcome of events using real money. Here is a list of markets that are equivalent across both Polymarket and PredictIt! Is good for people doing arbitrage or who are maxed out on Pi: Senate Control:Less than one year after committing to PredictIt full time, Rainbow Jeremy is on the top of the heap, making between $15,000 and $25,000 a month betting on congressional elections and Trump’s. PredictIt, poly. Knoji Staff. $6,612,404 bet so far. 0. For instance, an election contested between four candidates would be represented by eight separate contracts,. GOP Nomination 2024GOP Nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2024. com, consistently recorded Trump at above nine percent from early 2016 onward, based on live odds from FTX. There’s growing evidence that Gavin Newsom, the charismatic and energetic Democratic governor of California, is running something of a shadow campaign to Joe Biden and ready to step up if, or. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). In May, the odds were 43 cents, 31 cents and 26 cents for Biden, Trump and DeSantis, respectively. m. PredictIt Alternatives TradeFair. If you can't find. residents can get in on the action is PredictIt, an online prediction market. What happened during the game vote. English. He stands to win over $450 on a $83 bet if Ryan can beat the odds. Through the conditions of the No-Action letter, it became a significant partner to the academic community. The platform has been in a legal battle with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) after the body ordered PredictIt to cease. When instant negative risk exists, it’s usually somewhere between -$0. Install the app. Alternatives & Competitors; Stage Dead | Dead. PredictIt has many different categories of markets including questions about the Biden administration, U. In conclusion, both Kalshi and PredictIt are great options for those interested in prediction markets, and the choice between the two will ultimately depend on the individual's specific needs and preferences. Feb 6, 2023: Plaintiffs’ reply. PredictIt works in a nonprofit arrangement with Victoria University in New. That’s an essential reprieve with the original Feb 15 shutdown deadline now less than three weeks away. 1/0. Each event, such as an election, has a number of contracts associated with it, each correlating to a different outcome. 25. I think that the reason many people are trading on predictit and joining is because of the 10% on profits. 15 to 0 and over 0. PredictIt is structurally inefficient. Ways to buyPredictIt is still allowed to operate until a final decision is made in the case. com is good for Americans to trade on, but the odds are not efficient: As of this writing, the odds on PredictIt for who will win the Republican nomination add up to 191%. PredictIt. If that doesn't work for you, our users have ranked 1 alternatives to PredictIt, but unfortunately only one of them is free. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). How PredictIt turned a chaotic election into a haven for political junkies looking to make a buck. On August 4, the Commodities and Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) published CFTC Letter No. Nowadays, prediction markets span politics, entertainment,. Should the relevant polling average contain either a tie or a Democratic lead, the contract identifying the range. America’s political betting markets are mounting a comeback bid for 2024 — no matter Washington’s concerns. TagsPredictIt is currently the biggest legal site for political-prediction trading in this country. 4. PredictIt is an online prediction market that offers exchanges on political and financial events. Sanders remains well-liked and has a clear following among progressives. 9: 538 wins 0. We have compiled a list of solutions that reviewers voted as the best overall alternatives and competitors to Predict-It, including Tableau, Adobe Analytics, Qlik Sense, and. 22, 2023. Each state is represented by a number of electors equal to the size of its congressional delegation. com, truthsocial. predictIt. com, thebulwark. Also, I've been keeping an eye on the most recent player in the market, r/Polkamarkets, and I have to say I'm pretty impressed. ”. 07189725216. . PredictIt makes it pretty clear that the 1099-MISC income already subtracted the 5% withdrawal fee. 1/0. Following the filing of briefs, the Fifth Circuit has cleared the week of Feb 6 for oral arguments. In 2014, a division Commodity Futures within the Trading Commission (“CFTC”) issued. PredictIt users are limited to betting up to $850 per trading market. 15 and responded by filing a lawsuit against the CFTC and requesting a preliminary injunction in a case that’s pending in U. com. Users can plunk down as much as $850 to tap the next justice to. 95 = $3,990. The Democratic Party will select its presidential nominee at the 2024 Democratic National Convention, which will take place from August 19-22, 2024, in Chicago, Illinois . Kalshi emailed users Tuesday with a subject line that read “Election contracts are almost here. Alternative Metrics. For the GOP nomination, Trump leads on PredictIt at 75 cents, followed by Haley at 18 cents,. 41, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R) at $0. The PredictIt charts show the state of each market on PredictIt with data updated every 60 seconds, and the RealClearPolitics charts show prediction market averages updated daily. A share on PredictIt settles at $1 if the listed event comes to pass and $0 if it doesn’t, and its price fluctuates somewhere in the middle meanwhile. The Electoral College is the process by which the states and District of Columbia elect the president of the United States. The prediction market, which is operated out of Victoria University of Wellington in New Zealand and has been active in the U. The injunction pending appeal will allow PredictIt to continue to operate while the Court completes its consideration. 3. Related terms for predict- synonyms, antonyms and sentences with predictLike PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). PredictIt users more accurately called the 2020 presidential race than most polls, yet now the federal government wants to shut it down. Discover the full list of predictit. Over the past few weeks I’ve seen instant negative risk opportunities come and go a few times. PredictIt works in a nonprofit arrangement with Victoria University. $10-50K PredictIt is a research project of Victoria University of Wellington. 8. P (Trump election winner) = . PredictIt. Education Apps Download PredictIt APK. No, Predictit does not offer loyalty programs. (1,954) Tableau Server. Whether it is U. RealClearPolitics - Betting Odds - 2024 Republican Presidential NominationLike PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). 4: Investment Interest Rate/Time Value of Money. People don't mind that much but a fee. TradeFair is an online trading platform that provides a secure, fast, and easy way to trade stocks, ETFs,. Visit PredictIt Insight to learn from the wisdom of the crowd and make smarter bets on the future. There’s growing evidence that Gavin Newsom, the charismatic and energetic Democratic governor of California, is running something of a shadow. 9: 538 wins 0. randn(100, 2), predicted_column=1, predicts=3) There are only two positional arguments data and predicted_column (because, there is more than a. Most sports betting sites offer lucrative promos to their customers such as no deposit bonus and so does PredictIt. If I don't get my favorable outcome, at least I'll make some money. com PredictIt, the popular futures exchange tied to political events, has until February 15 to close all existing markets and shut down, putting an end to the legal availability in the US of. Becca Balint of Vermont introduced a resolution to censure Republican Rep. H. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. The court allowed PredictIt to keep existing markets open for trading until Feb. PredictIt operates under limitations: bets are capped at $850 limits, and there can be no more than 5,000 people at a time in any given market; they cannot offer contracts on sports, or on when. (CN) — Proponents of a market taking bets on who will win the 2024 presidential election are likely to prevail in their lawsuit accusing federal regulators of improperly ordering the market to close, a divided Fifth Circuit panel ruled Friday. Feb 1, 2023: CFTC’s brief. S. You can monitor their chances at PredictIt, the popular online betting market, which asks, “Who will win the 2024 US presidential election?”. They subtract the 5% whether the funds have been withdrawn or not. , Judges Elrod, Graves, and Ho a per curiam – a unanimous but unsigned and unpublished order – denying the CFTC’s motion to dismiss. e. One might think no public benefit is gained by gambling on elections. or international presidential election to a Supreme Court decision, either Yes or No. A smaller political predictions market is Iowa Electronic Markets, at the University of Iowa. Predictit debits by risk (which means your investment costs only as much as your loss in the worst possible outcome). What I don't like about PredictIt is that they charge 5% on withdrawals plus other. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). For instance, an election contested between four candidates would be represented by eight separate contracts, with each. But to be eligible to bet, the government says you must have $10 million in assets. PredictIt would emerge as a permissible alternative, and while the contracts were limited in price, PredictIt became incredibly popular. In 2014, a division within the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (“CFTC”) issued PredictIt a “no-action letter,” effectively allowing it to operate without registering. They will give you a match of 100% of your initial deposit up to 80 when you use BESTODDS coupon code. Frederic Bastiat (1801-1850) was a French economist, statesman, and author. PredictIt, a project of Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand, and operated by Aristotle International Inc. com, PredictIt. The US Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals has scheduled a hearing on Feb. There are not enough reviews of Predict-It for G2 to provide buying insight. But the age factor seems like it will really matter this time around. The Value of Alternative Trading Platforms PredictIt essentially functions similar to a stock market. (1,954) Tableau Server is a business intelligence application that provides browser-based analytics anyone can learn and use. The company was founded in 2017 and is based in Gibraltar. PredictIt provides many markets with futures contracts linked to political issues, ranging from ongoing policy outcomes to political elections. Below are some alternatives with more reviews: 1. Description: Alternative 1 is a powerful platform for political predictions with a user-friendly interface and a wide range of features. A smaller political predictions market is Iowa Electronic Markets, at the University of Iowa. He stands to win over $450 on a $83 bet if Ryan can beat the odds. The Magistrate Judge simultaneously denied the plaintiffs’ motion for leave to file a supplemental memorandum. If that doesn't work for you, our users have ranked 1 alternatives to PredictIt, but unfortunately only one of them is free. On Thursday, the federal agency notified PredictIt that it was pulling its “no-action” letter, a move that prompted the. elections, Congress, or Supreme Court, you can find the hottest markets and see how the odds change in real time. predictions_1 = predictit. I'd be fine with it as an alternative, if that is somehow easier than setting up a subscription. No other candidate has more than a $0. Just to be clear, I'm not a Predictit rep. The. 06792043686 to 0. predict(data=np. Rubio’s 40 percent. Top 10 Predict-It Alternatives & Competitors (1) 0. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet. Synonyms for PREDICT: foretell, prognosticate, call, forecast, prophesy, divine, portend, augur, omen, forebode, presage, foresee, adumbrate, anticipated, anticipate. Check out the odds at our most trusted. PredictIt’s market data offers researchers a wealth of information that. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) for denying its effort to list derivatives for betting on the outcome of political events – specifically. Taking part in PredictIt is fun and easy. Top 10 Predict-It Alternatives & Competitors (1) 0. Mainstream punditry continues to place enormous importance on that Times/Siena poll "finding" that Biden is in trouble. Company Type For Profit. com. Project 2. PredictIt is a "predictive market" that operates sort of like a stock market, but is different in a few key ways. PredictIt works in a nonprofit arrangement with Victoria University. PredictIt, the larger of the two prediction markets operating in the United States, has emerged over the last several years as a go-to source for journalists and academics seeking to harness the. In 2014, a division within the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (“CFTC”) issued PredictIt a “no-action letter,” effectively allowing it to operate without registering under federal law. (A peculiar inefficiency in that market tends to overrate the chances of all of the candidates, so both of these numbers are. 0. Visible. org, Smarkets. The plaintiffs are seeking to prevent or at least delay this occurrence. Explore various markets, from presidential races to congressional districts, and see how your predictions compare to others. PredictIt works in a nonprofit arrangement with Victoria University. Register Now. S. BenFred: In an alternative universe, Mizzou is a College Football Playoff team. You can buy and sell shares of real-world events and earn money if your predictions are correct. TagsPredictIt Could Disappear Within Months as CFTC Pulls No-Action Letter. Show More. PredictIt is a real-money binary-options prediction market that tests user knowledge of political events by letting buy and trade shares. S. You will have $160 to bet on events. Users can plunk down as much. You can also contact through their social media pages. It will hear PredictIt’s request to keep its exchange active past a Feb. A twitter rando with little identifying information is taking credit (edit: account just went private after complaining of harassment from Predictit users so tweet is unlinkable now, was@tnim__), claiming he lobbied for it as an act of revenge for Predictit banning him years ago. Over at PredictIt, which is a small-scale experimental prediction market popular among American hobbyists, traders have moved more decisively, giving Mr. Register NowPrediction markets allow users to purchase shares relating to the outcome of events using real money. In order to take full advantage of the research opportunities presented by prediction markets like. Price. PredictIt works in a nonprofit arrangement with Victoria University. Suggest an edit. On PredictIt, the winner pays out $1 for each market. 0. Windy is a prediction platform that allows users to make predictions on a variety of topics, from sports to politics to finance. On the prediction marketplace, PredictIt, Biden ranked first at 44 cents, followed by Trump at 30 cents and Ramaswamy at 9 cents. The site pays out $1 to the. ere’s your daily dose of markets, news, data analysis and what to keep an eye out for going forward.